غزة, الهجوم السوري-الإيراني
د. وليد فارس
ميديا جورنال - 25/6/2007
أن الاستيلاء على غزة و حسب
تقديرهم سيؤدي إلى إضعاف الجهود
الأمريكية في العراق وسيضغط على
إسرائيل لتبتعد عن سوريا وحزب
Gaza, the Broader Syro-Iranian Offensive
Dr. Walid Phares
latest dramatic military and terror events in Gaza and
Lebanon can be viewed from a regional geopolitical
perspective: A Syro-Iranian axis offensive on its
(their) primarily western front stretching along the
previous analyses I have argued that the Tehran-Damascus
axis is involved in a regional campaign to seize as much
physical terrain and score as many victories across the
Middle East in order to consolidate their strategic
posture before 2008; the year they believe Americans
will limit – perhaps diminish — their moves because
of the U.S. presidential campaign season.
and Syria's offensives have been well-coordinated on
battlefields across the Levant since last January, with
a clear escalation since early spring.
are the main fronts:
Front: There have been multiple reports and much
evidence of arming and supplying neo-Taliban and other
Jihadi forces in Afghanistan in order that they may
engage U.S.-led NATO forces and provoke chaos across the
Front: The axis has intensified its actions against U.S.
and coalition forces, as wells as Iraqi civilians in an
attempt to create more sectarian tension, with the
greater objective of disrupting “surge” operations
in particular, and generally eroding U.S. and allied
efforts in Iraq.
Front: The axis has unleashed two blitzkrieg-like
offensives — one on the upper western front (Lebanon).
The other within the lower western front (Gaza).
Lebanon, the Tehran-Damascus axis has had as its goals
to crumble the Seniora Government, cripple the Lebanese
Army, and crush the Cedars Revolution. To accomplish
these, two approaches have been taken:
Terrorism: The assassination of MP Walid Eido in Beirut,
other bombing attacks including car-bombs targeting and
Fatah al Islam attacks against the Lebanese Army in Nahr
al bared and Tripoli in the north.
Lebanon, the axis is expected to launch more terror
attacks. We are looking at all Syro-Iranian assets in
Lebanon, monitoring which ones will be deployed to
battle next, and when.
axis has also been involved in Gaza where they surprised
observers with their decision to throw Hamas fully
against Fatah and the PA in the enclave. The plan to
seize control of Gaza was projected a long time ago. But
the timing was at the discretion of the Syro-Iranian war
room, which funds and strategically controls Hamas and
heavy fighting in Gaza represents an important decision
made by the regional masters: The acceleration of the
axis offensive so that by the end of summer, four
battlefields will be fully ignited against the U.S., its
allies and regional democracies: Afghanistan, Iraq,
Lebanon and Gaza (Palestinian territories). But just as
important is the fact that an entire Taliban-like zone
has been established on the eastern Mediterranean under
Hamas control and with Syro-Iranian backing. Our
expectations are that, short of a large-scale
counter-operation aimed at dislodging the
"coup" in the enclave, the area will become a
massive terror base of operations.
the final analysis, the axis' offensive on their western
front is peaking. The immediate goal of the axis is to
protect the Syrian regime’s western (Lebanon) flank
and southern (Israel) flank.
in Lebanon and spreading chaos, also would potentially
shield Bashar al Assad from the upcoming UN
investigation into the assassination of Lebanese Prime
Minister Rafik Hariri (and others).
Gaza would, in their estimation, curtail U.S. efforts in
Iraq, and pressure Israel away from Syria and Hezbollah.
The Jihadi strategic mind is in its full offensive mode
in the region.
لهذه المقالات لا يعني أنها
تعبر عن وجهة نظر المركز كلياً
من حق الزائر الكريم أن ينقل وأن ينشر كل ما يعجبه من موقعنا . معزواً إلينا ، أو غير معزو .ـ