مع الأسد لن ينهي الدعم السوري
الإسرائيلية - 15/5/2007
ان أي شخص يعتقد أن التوصل إلى
اتفاق مع الأسد سوف يوقف دعمه
لحزب الله اللبناني فهو مخطئ
Assad deal will not end Syrian support of Hezbollah
who thinks that our talking with Syria would sever them
from Hezbollah is mistaken," Mossad chief Meir
Dagan told a closed forum last week. However, he added,
"I do believe Syrian President Bashar Assad could
agree to expel Hamas and Islamic Jihad from Damascus and
stop supporting them."
Dagan issued a clear warning about the dangers of talks
with Syria: "If we enter negotiations with Assad
and they fail, the danger of war will be greater than if
there were no negotiations at all," he said.
the discussion, Dagan laid out his views on the Syrian
issue in detail. Yet sources who were present at the
meeting said that his bottom-line position remained
unclear, and at times, he even contradicted himself.
This may have been related to his belief, as he put it,
that "the decision on whether to resume
negotiations with Syria should not be the business of
the intelligence agencies."
not a politician," he said. "I'm an
intelligence person, and it's not my job to say whether
we need to negotiate with Syria; that is the job and the
decision of the prime minister and the government. My
job is to present assessments and risks."
these sources said, their general impression was that
Dagan, one of the most dominant figures in the security
establishment, believes that talks with Syria would do
more harm than good.
contradicts the views of Military Intelligence
(including both MI chief Amos Yadlin and the head of the
research department, Yossi Beiditz), the Foreign
Ministry and the National Security Council, all of which
have said publicly that they believe the peace signals
Assad is sending are serious. Dagan, in contrast, has
expressed doubts about Syria's good intentions several
times over the last few months. In December, for
instance, he told the Knesset Foreign Affairs and
Defense Committee that there is no indication that Syria
has taken more flexible positions or that it wants peace.
divergent views have been evident both in periodic
briefings by intelligence officials to the Foreign
Affairs and Defense Committee and in the national
intelligence assessment presented to the government in
February. At that briefing, Dagan urged the cabinet
"not to be led astray by the peace signals from
Syria, as they are meant to remove international
pressure from Damascus."
these differing conclusions are not based on different
data; all of the agencies possess roughly the same
information. What differs is their interpretation.
contrast, the intelligence community is united in its
assessment that Syria's recent military buildup is
defensive rather than offensive, and is meant to prepare
the army to meet a possible Israeli attack.
Minister Amir Peretz weighed in on the debate yesterday
by saying, "If I were the prime minister of Israel,
and the Syrian president said, 'Come, let's meet
tomorrow and start to talk,' I would not be afraid to
meet the Syrian president and listen to him. But the
question is not just the Golan Heights. We also need to
ask where Syria will be on the fundamentalist axis,
whether it will break with Iran, whether it will stop
giving protection to Hamas and about the flow of arms to
who was speaking in an interview with Channel 10
television, added: "It is impossible to ignore what
is happening with the Syrian army, we must study its
preparations and arms buildup. On the other hand, it is
impossible to ignore the voices of peace emanating from
there. We need to take a courageous step and examine
these voices of peace, including via concealed channels
involving contacts through third parties and other
countries. We must work to prepare the infrastructure so
there can be agreements; the second thing is we need to
announce we are not afraid to meet with Syria's
لهذه المقالات لا يعني أنها
تعبر عن وجهة نظر المركز كلياً
من حق الزائر الكريم أن ينقل وأن ينشر كل ما يعجبه من موقعنا . معزواً إلينا ، أو غير معزو .ـ